- NDA 230
- UPA 130
- Others 185
- NDA 230
- Others with support of UPA 315
In India, it is all number game.
Hard work doesn't yield any result.
You need to be clever and cunning to capture the power in India.
Right now, except Narendra Modi, no one else is so desperate for the Prime Minister post.
Some how, Narendra Modi got into that trap.
Narendra Modi has no way out.
No way, Narendra Modi could become the Prime Minister of India.
If you look at the history of India, leaders reach the top post in a very careful step by step strategy.
Look at Vajpayee.
He didn't become overnight. Vajpayee knew that the Ayodhya was not a good thing. Vajpayee didn't actively involved in it. But Vajpayee worked closely with Advani and became the Prime Minister of India. Vajpayee had to resign immediately and then came back to power.
Narendra Modi has no such strategy. All his actions are very amateur like.
Indian democracy is not IPL 20-20. It is like those 5 days cricket match.
Indian democracy is not like those American democracy.
In America, with election, all confusion ends. People directly elect the Chief Executive.
In fact, that is what Narendra Modi should have done first.
During the last parliament session, some how, Narendra Modi should have convinced Advani and others to make amendment in the constitution. Let us get rid of all these mathematical calculations about 543 and odd. Let people directly elect the Chief Executive of India.
Almost all regional leaders would have extended their full support for that amendment.
Narendra Modi wants to drink soup with his moustache and beard.
நரேந்திர மோடிக்கு, கூலுக்கும் ஆசை; மீசைக்கும் ஆசை.
Narendra Modi wants to take advantage of the BJP; as well as he wants to be elected directly by the people, like the President of America.
It is now obvious. Narendra Modi has no knowledge about Indian politics and no understanding about the western politics.
Narendra Modi is like our youth; they just pick up a few english quotes; eat burgers and pizza; listen to latest western album; facebook; twitter.
They spend so much time in facebook; but, they don't know how the system is built; how those messages are stored; how the security are implemented.
In India, the election and voting has got nothing to do with, who is coming to power.
First half is different; and second half is completely different.
The real action, suspense, climax is in the second half.
First half is very light; introduction of characters; comedy.
Second half is the real meat of the story.
The confusion starts in the post poll scenario.
It may happen in the next decade; at least, a movie will be based on this concept.
Just like, Shankar movie, One day Chief Minister.
Year 2030. An overseas indian; got huge money from his IPO.
India has the parliament election. People vote and elect their representatives for the parliament.
Our overseas indian come to New Delhi and meet all MPs. This person negotiate with them and all agree to choose this person as the Prime Minister of India. This person is elected as a member of Rajya Sabha.
In India, you don't need to meet people and canvas for vote.
MPs do invest their wealth and won the election. If they get back their investment, they will support the candidate for the Prime Minister post.
It is all number game. Most of the time, in the recent history, the Prime Minister of India, did not have the support of all Members of Parliament.
The Prime Minister of India had only 200 plus.
The Rest had 300 plus.
Only thing, you need to make sure that the 300 plus is fragmented; not united.
That is the key.
You don't need to win 300 plus. But you need to make sure that 300 plus is fragmented.
In India, Mohandas Karamchand only can win 300 plus seats. Nobody else could win the hearts of the people of entire India.
Even, Jawaharlal Nehru can not win 300 plus seats.
But, even after winning 300 plus, Mohandas Karamchand cannot become the Prime Minister of India.
Without 300 plus, Jawaharlal Nehru could easily become the Prime Minister of India.
Prime Minister of India is not about winning the election with big margin; making others to lose their deposit; winning maximum number of seats.
It is more than that. Vajpayee did become the Prime Minister; but couldn't survive for a month.
Arvind Kejriwal did become the Chief Minister of New Delhi; but couldn't survive for two months.
So, it is not just an election. It is struggle everyday.
Mohandas Karamchand cannot handle that everyday challenge; only Jawaharlal Nehru could handle it.
Narendra Modi failed in so many steps.
Narendra Modi assumed that it will be a direct fight between Congress and BJP.
That is true. But, as an innovation, Narendra Modi try to introduce the new way.
Direct fight between Narendra Modi and Rahul (Gandhi. I hate to write the name Gandhi here.)
Narendra Modi was shocked, when Rahul refused to take up the direct challenge.
The worst thing is, Narendra Modi didn't have alternate plan.
His whole strategy was based on assumptions.
All regional leaders seized this opportunity.
Had it been a fight between Congress and BJP, regional parties had to align with either one of them.
Since Narendra Modi started a fight between leaders; not the front; not the parties; everyone see the opportunity and now challenging Narendra Modi.
- Narendra Modi challenged Rahul.
- Rahul didn't accept the challenge; so Rahul got eliminated.
- Now, Narendra Modi alone in the battle field.
- All regional leaders are challenging Narendra Modi.
- 300 plus others are now challenging 200 plus Narendra Modi.
- with Advani episode, 200 plus is now fragmented.
Had it been, the usual way, Congress & BJP, Narendra Modi would have become the Prime Minister of India.
If the fight is between two fronts, it would have continued for a few more decades.
Congress front would have got 250 plus and BJP front would have got 250 plus.
Now, Narendra Modi destroyed both Congress and BJP.
It is a good thing. People have been caught in those cages for their entire life. Now all got freedom.
Now, it is simple. Any Chief Minister can become the Prime Minister of this nation.
BJP is now fragmented. If anyone else become the Prime Minister, they may be there for five years or ten years.
If Narendra Modi become the Prime Minister, thats all. He will not give opportunity for others.
So, Chief Ministers of Madya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Goa; they want anyone else become the Prime Minster; but not Narendra Modi.
So, Narendra Modi cannot get 300 plus; even if he gets, Narendra Modi cannot hold them for a long time.
In fact, as Rahul didn't fall into this trap, in the first round fight between, Narendra Modi and Rahul;
Rahul won. Narendra Modi lost.
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